Santi Aldama Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 19, 2023

Updated Dec 20, 2023 12:22 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+115/-145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has put up 2.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games, 0.4 higher than he's put up in all games this year.
The 7th-quickest tempo visiting team in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 7th-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Santi Aldama registers in the 89th percentile for technical fouls, registering a colossal 0.1 fouls per game this year.
The Grizzlies have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 13 games when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have brought down 11.9 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans (maintaining possessions that can result in more opportunities for offense).
Santi Aldama should experience a decrease in production for all stats in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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