Santi Aldama Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 24, 2023 10:02 PM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-145/+111).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has averaged 4.1 defensive boards per game away from home since the start of last season, placing him in the 75th percentile -- among the best in the league by this metric.
The 10th-speediest pace visiting offense in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increase stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has averaged 0.3 technical fouls per game this season, quite a bit more than his 0.0 technicals per game last season.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Memphis Grizzlies.
This year, their opposition has grabbed 12.2 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns (preserving possessions that can create further chances for offense).

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