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Santi Aldama

Santi Aldama Rebounds
Player Prop - 11/22/2023

Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies

 
 
 
Santi Aldama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Santi Aldama has totaled 3.8 defensive boards per game away from home since the start of last season, ranking in the 77th percentile -- among the best in the league by this standard.
  • Santi Aldama has been called for a mere 0.8 personal fouls per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 2.3 fouls per game last year.
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league while playing away from home this year.
  • The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
  • This year when they are on their home court, the other team has collected 10.3 offensive boards per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets (losing possessions that could otherwise spark further chances for offense).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rockets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league with the home court advantage this year, which should decrease possessions for the Grizzlies.
  • Santi Aldama will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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