Santi Aldama Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 18, 2023

Updated Nov 19, 2023 1:08 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 6th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from competing against the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the San Antonio Spurs).
The Grizzlies check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 9.3 offensive boards per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate added chances for offense).

Favors Under

Santi Aldama ought to suffer a drop-off in efficiency for all stats in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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