Santi Aldama Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/28/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 28, 2023

Updated Apr 29, 2023 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has tallied 3.7 defensive rebounds per game this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile -- among the hottest players in the NBA by this standard in recent games.
Santi Aldama has played an impressive 20.8 minutes per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 10.9 minutes per game last season.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league away from their home court this year.
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

While at home, the Lakers have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens stat production for all stats.

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