Santi Aldama Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs LA Clippers · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 30, 2023 2:21 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has averaged 1.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 0.6 more than he's averaged overall this year at home.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games at home.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally raises stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Clippers have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Grizzlies.
The Clippers have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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