Santi Aldama Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs Orlando Magic · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has averaged 2.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 0.8 more than he's averaged in all games this season at home.
The Magic have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should increase plays for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to improves player performance across the board.

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home.
The Magic have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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