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Santi Aldama

Santi Aldama Rebounds
Player Prop - 3/13/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies

 
 
 
Santi Aldama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-160/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Santi Aldama has posted 2.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's posted overall this season.
  • Santi Aldama has committed 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the lowest-fouling players in the league (22nd percentile).
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
  • The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Mavericks have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Santi Aldama has played 11.5 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 21st percentile -- riding the bench far more than most players in the NBA.
  • The Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Grizzlies.
  • Santi Aldama will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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