Santi Aldama Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 3:36 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has put up 2.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's put up in all games this year.
Santi Aldama has tallied 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least foul-prone players in the NBA (22nd percentile).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has tallied 11.5 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 21st percentile -- putting him among the least-utilized plays in the NBA.
Santi Aldama will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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