Santi Aldama Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 25, 2023

Updated Feb 26, 2023 1:01 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has totaled 2.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's totaled in all games this year.
Santi Aldama has committed 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the lowest-fouling players in the NBA (22nd percentile).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has been on the court for 10.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court far less than most players in the league: 18th percentile.

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