Santi Aldama Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 16, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-143/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has compiled 1.2 offensive rebounds per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this standard: 78th percentile.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which also create new chances for scoring and assists).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
Santi Aldama will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually raises player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has averaged 2.2 personal fouls per game this season, significantly more than his 1.1 fouls per game last season.
The Suns have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to opposing clubs this year while on the road (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Grizzlies have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Suns.

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