Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2026

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 3, 2026

Updated Mar 4, 2026 3:33 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-107/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

As it relates to shooting, the Memphis Grizzlies's excellent 117.3 points per game measures as the 4th-best in the league over the last 20 games.
The 4th-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Timberwolves have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games at home, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Memphis Grizzlies.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a challenging one; they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.5).
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Minnesota is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 3.1 free throws per game this year when the Minnesota Timberwolves are playing at home (9th-least in the league).

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