Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2026

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 28, 2026

Updated Jan 28, 2026 11:23 PM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-135/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Hornets is a strong one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting PFs have posted the highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (55.8%).
The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from competing against the 4th-most up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

When it comes to scoring, the Grizzlies's lackluster 45.5% field goal percentage measures as the 4th-fewest in the NBA this year.
This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Hornets, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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