Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 1/18/2026

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Orlando Magic · Jan 18, 2026

Updated Jan 18, 2026 11:38 PM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Grizzlies check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Grizzlies check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. Orlando is a hard one; when the Magic are away from home, they have given up the least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs over the last 10 games (15.1).
The Orlando Magic have played at the 10th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which ought to reduce possessions for the Memphis Grizzlies.
Over the last 10 games when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.8 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Magic, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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