Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2026

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 6, 2026

Updated Jan 7, 2026 3:45 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-129/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In regard to offense, the Grizzlies's remarkable 120.7 points per game rates 4th-most in the league over the last 10 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Grizzlies.

Favors Under

This year when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have averaged 8.6 points per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Spurs, branding this as a tough matchup for offensive production.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 19 games when they are playing at home, opposing squads have attempted 23.8 foul shots per game (24th-highest in the league) against the San Antonio Spurs, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

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