Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2025

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Philadelphia 76ers · Dec 30, 2025

Updated Dec 31, 2025 3:03 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+116/-168).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -168.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has scored 21.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.5 more than he's scored in all games this year.
This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 40.8% on three-pointers (4th-best in the league) vs. the 76ers, marking this as a favorable matchup.
The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 5.5 free throws per game (9th-most in the league) vs. the 76ers, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

As it relates to scoring, the Memphis Grizzlies's subpar 45.5% field goal rate settles in as the 6th-lowest in the league this year.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should reduce opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.

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