Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2025

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Washington Wizards vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 28, 2025

Updated Dec 29, 2025 4:20 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has tallied 20.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.3 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The matchup against Washington is a strong one for shots from the field; when the Wizards are at home, opposing starting PFs have averaged the 7th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (14.6).
The 3rd-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA at home this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year.

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