Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2025

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 23, 2025

Updated Dec 24, 2025 3:19 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-116/-116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have put up 24.0 points per game (highest in the league) vs. the Jazz, making this a favorable matchup for offensive productivity.
The 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the fastest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Utah Jazz).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank 5th-best in in the NBA while on the road with 13.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
The matchup against Utah is a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 5.6 free throws per game this year when the Jazz are playing at home (most in the NBA).

Favors Under

In regard to shooting, the Grizzlies's poor 111.5 points per game as the road team ranks 9th-fewest in the NBA this year.

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