Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 12/22/2025

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 22, 2025

Updated Dec 23, 2025 2:34 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+138/-220).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -220.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has registered 18.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 more than he's registered overall this season.
The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 7th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 20 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank 4th-best in in the league while on the road with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (10th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA away from home this year.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 46.3% on shots from the field (8th-weakest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, designating this as a tough matchup.

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