Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2025

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Washington Wizards · Dec 20, 2025

Updated Dec 21, 2025 1:33 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Washington Wizards is a positive one; they have allowed the 9th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs this year (18.6).
The 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies rank 5th-best in in the league with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
The matchup against the Wizards may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

When it comes to offense, the Memphis Grizzlies's lackluster 114.4 points per game rates 10th-fewest in the NBA this year.

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