Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 12/17/2025

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 17, 2025

Updated Dec 18, 2025 1:03 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-101/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Grizzlies rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a difficult one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs this year (14.5).
The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should reduce opportunities for the Grizzlies.
In terms of drawing fouls, the Memphis Grizzlies's poor 22.2 free throw attempts per game when playing away from home measures as the 4th-worst in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Minnesota is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 3.1 foul shots per game this year when the Minnesota Timberwolves are on their home court (9th-least in the league).

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