Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 12/12/2025

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz · Dec 12, 2025

Updated Dec 13, 2025 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-128/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 2.4 threes per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Jazz, branding this as a strong matchup.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA when playing at home this year.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should boost plays for the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Utah Jazz may be a good one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a massive 5.9 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (3rd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

In terms of scoring, the Memphis Grizzlies's unimpressive 113.6 points per game settles in as the 8th-weakest in the NBA this year.

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