Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2025

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 22, 2025

Updated Nov 23, 2025 1:26 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-118/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the 8th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Grizzlies.
This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 16.0 field goal attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, branding this as a favorable matchup.
The Grizzlies have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the NBA this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from squaring off against the fastest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Favors Under

The Grizzlies rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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