Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2025

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 20, 2025

Updated Nov 21, 2025 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 52.6% on field goal attempts (6th-best in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, marking this as a good matchup.
The speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 8 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Kings have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Grizzlies have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Kings, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

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