Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 4/26/2025

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 26, 2025

Updated Apr 27, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has attempted 6.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.
Santi Aldama has tallied 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 4.8 higher than he's tallied overall this year at home.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA this year.
The Grizzlies are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from squaring off against the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

When it comes to 3-point attempts, the 6th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have shot 25.5% on threes (2nd-weakest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, labeling this as a difficult matchup.
Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Thunder, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

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