Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 4/22/2025

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 22, 2025

Updated Apr 22, 2025 11:28 PM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has attempted 4.9 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The speediest tempo team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from facing the speediest tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder).
The Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.4 higher than he's committed in all games this year on the road.
The Grizzlies have been the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage.
Santi Aldama will likely experience a decrease in production in all facets of the game considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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