Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 4/18/2025

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 18, 2025

Updated Apr 18, 2025 11:28 PM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has attempted 6.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season at home.
Santi Aldama has averaged 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 5.6 higher than he's averaged in all games this season at home.
The most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies.
The Mavericks have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while traveling, which ought to raise opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 12.9 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season.
When it comes to treys, the Grizzlies's subpar 36.2% rate of drained threes while at home measures as the 10th-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Among all players in the NBA, Santi Aldama registers in the 13th percentile for free-throw ability with a weak 63.3% rate this year.

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