Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 4/3/2025

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 3, 2025

Updated Apr 4, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Santi Aldama registers in the 76th percentile for shots from the field drained while on the road, posting a monstrous 4.8 per game this year.
Santi Aldama has attempted 6.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
The fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama has attempted 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.

Favors Under

The Grizzlies will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Heat).
Santi Aldama will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually decreases stat production for all stats.

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