Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 4/1/2025

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 1, 2025

Updated Apr 2, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has attempted 7.2 threes per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
Santi Aldama has tallied 30.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 4.4 higher than he's tallied in all games this year at home.
The most up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 46.4% higher than he's converted overall this season while on his home court.

Favors Under

As it relates to treys, the Grizzlies's poor 34.6% rate of made threes rates 7th-weakest in the league over the last 20 games.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Memphis Grizzlies.

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