Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 3/27/2025

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 27, 2025

Updated Mar 28, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has sunk 5.0 baskets per game this year, placing him in the 76th percentile among all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Santi Aldama slots into the 78th percentile for 3-point shots sunk on the road, posting 1.8 per game this year.
Santi Aldama has averaged 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the lowest-fouling players in the league (24th percentile).
The most up-tempo pace team in the league this year has been the Grizzlies.
The Thunder have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 15 games, which should boost opportunities for the Grizzlies.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Thunder is a tough one for shots from the field; opposing starting PFs have put up the 8th-lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (46.3%).
Santi Aldama will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen player performance in all facets of the game.

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