Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2025

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 3, 2025

Updated Mar 4, 2025 1:24 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against Atlanta is a favorable one; when the Hawks are the visiting squad, they have given up the 3rd-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs this year (21.1).
The quickest tempo team in the league this year has been the Grizzlies.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to more plays for the Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA with 13.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

With respect to three-point attempts, the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA while at home over the last 5 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.

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