Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2025

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 1, 2025

Updated Mar 2, 2025 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has attempted 6.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
The Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Grizzlies will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 3rd-speediest pace road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the San Antonio Spurs).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 2nd-best in in the league with 13.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Santi Aldama has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 50.0% more than he's sunk over the course of the season while playing at home.

Favors Under

When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 5th-least aggressive team in the league as the home team over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies.
Over the last 15 games, opposing starting PFs have tallied 15.8 points per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, creating a tough matchup for offensive effectiveness.

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