Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2025

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 25, 2025

Updated Feb 26, 2025 12:59 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has made 53.8% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games at home, 9.9% more than he's made in all games this year on his home court.
The most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Suns have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should lead to more opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies rank best in in the league with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Santi Aldama is expected to see a rise in productivity in all facets of the game considering holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has been called for 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.1 higher than he's been called for in all games this year at home.
The Grizzlies check in as the 6th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games in regard to 3-point attempts.
Among all players in the league, Santi Aldama lands in the 15th percentile for foul-shot proficiency with a subpar 62.5% rate this year.

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