Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2025

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 8, 2025

Updated Feb 9, 2025 4:04 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has made 56.2% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games at home, 11.8% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this season while on his home court.
The speediest tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA on the road this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has committed 2.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.9 more than he's committed in all games this season at home.
Santi Aldama has converted 63.5% of his foul shot attempts this year, ranking him in the 16th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

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