Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 1/30/2025

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Houston Rockets · Jan 30, 2025

Updated Jan 31, 2025 2:03 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has converted 50.4% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games at home, 8.6% higher than he's sunk in all games this year with the home court advantage.
Santi Aldama has been called for 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the least foul-prone players in the league (20th percentile).
The most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from competing against the 7th-fastest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank best in in the NBA while at home with 13.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Santi Aldama registers in the 16th percentile for free-throw prowess with a lackluster 63.2% rate this year.

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