Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2025

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 17, 2025

Updated Jan 18, 2025 2:04 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Santi Aldama lands in the 77th percentile for three-point ability with an impressive 37.9% rate this year.
The Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league this year.
The Grizzlies will likely see a spike in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 6th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Spurs).
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Santi Aldama comes in at the 20th percentile for free-throw performance with a subpar 64.4% rate this year.
Santi Aldama is expected to see a decline in performance in all stat categories considering playing away from home in this game.

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