Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 1, 2024

Updated Dec 2, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has converted 71.4% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 30.7% more than he's converted from three overall this season playing at home.
Santi Aldama has averaged 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the least-whistled players in the league (20th percentile).
The speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-quickest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Pacers).
The Grizzlies have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As it relates to three-pointers, the Grizzlies's subpar 35.2% rate of drained threes while on their home court measures as the 10th-lowest in the NBA this year.

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