Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 19, 2024

Updated Nov 20, 2024 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has averaged 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the lowest-fouling players in the NBA (17th percentile).
The Grizzlies have played at the fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Grizzlies are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from facing the 10th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies rank 7th-best in in the league with 12.1 offensive boards per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Santi Aldama rates in the 91st percentile for foul-shot ability with an impressive 92.9% rate this year.

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has made a lowly 18.6% of his 3-point shots this year, a significant dropoff from his 36.5 rate last year.
With respect to shots from downtown, the Memphis Grizzlies's lackluster 31.2% rate of drained threes ranks 2nd-fewest in the NBA over the last 5 games.

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