Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 17, 2024

Updated Nov 18, 2024 1:10 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-136/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has averaged 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least lowest-fouling players in the league (18th percentile).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the league while at home this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies grade out 5th-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Santi Aldama has successfully made 92.9% of his foul shots this year, ranking in the 89th percentile out of all players in the league.

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has converted a lowly 20.0% of his shots from downtown this season, a sizeable decrease from his 36.5 mark last season.
The Grizzlies have been the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA on their home court this year in regard to shot attempts from downtown.

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