Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 11/13/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 13, 2024

Updated Nov 14, 2024 2:55 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Santi Aldama measures in the 15th percentile for personal fouls, posting a lowly 1.2 fouls per game this year.
The matchup against the Lakers is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.8).
The Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Lakers have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has converted a lowly 21.1% of his treys this season, a significant dropoff from his 36.5 mark last season.
The Grizzlies rank as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA as the visting team this year in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc.
Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.9 free throws per game (fewest in the league) against the Lakers, finding it difficult to draw fouls.
Santi Aldama will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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