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Santi Aldama

Santi Aldama Points
Player Prop - 11/13/2024

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies

 
 
 
Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Santi Aldama measures in the 15th percentile for personal fouls, posting a lowly 1.2 fouls per game this year.
  • The matchup against the Lakers is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.8).
  • The Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The Lakers have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Grizzlies.
  • The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Santi Aldama has converted a lowly 21.1% of his treys this season, a significant dropoff from his 36.5 mark last season.
  • The Grizzlies rank as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA as the visting team this year in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc.
  • Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.9 free throws per game (fewest in the league) against the Lakers, finding it difficult to draw fouls.
  • Santi Aldama will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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