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Santi Aldama

Santi Aldama Points
Player Prop - 11/10/2024

Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 2nd-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.

The Trail Blazers have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home city this year, which ought to lead to more plays for the Memphis Grizzlies.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 11.9 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Santi Aldama has sunk an impressive 100.0% of his free throws this year, a significant increase from his 61.8 rate last year.

Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 3.9 free throws per game (7th-most in the league) vs. the Trail Blazers, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Santi Aldama rates in the 18th percentile for 3-point effectiveness on the road with a poor 12.5% rate this year.

The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 4th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.

The matchup vs. Portland is a hard one for shots from the field; when the Portland Trail Blazers have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have tallied the least field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (8.4).

Santi Aldama ought to experience a decrease in effectiveness in all stat categories considering being on the road in this game.

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