Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Oct 25, 2024

Updated Oct 25, 2024 11:44 PM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Santi Aldama slots into the 76th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc while playing on the road, averaging 4.7 per game since the start of last season.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank 7th-best in the NBA while on the road with 11.2 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. Houston may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a massive 7.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Rockets are playing at home (most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. the Rockets is a difficult one for three-point shots; the other team's starting PFs have compiled the lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (21.7%).
Santi Aldama has converted 63.0% of his free throws since the start of last season, ranking him in the 11th percentile out of all players in the league.
Santi Aldama will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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