Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 10/23/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies · Oct 23, 2024

Updated Oct 24, 2024 1:19 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-185/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -185.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Santi Aldama measures in the 78th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, totaling 5.0 per game since the start of last season.
This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PFs have logged 24.0 points per game (most in the league) against the Utah Jazz, creating a strong matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Grizzlies are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 7th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA since the start of last season (the Utah Jazz).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies grade out 10th-best in in the league with 10.9 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.
This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 5.6 foul shots per game (most in the league) vs. the Jazz, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

With respect to offense, the Memphis Grizzlies's unimpressive 105.8 points per game rates weakest in the NBA since the start of last season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Santi Aldama ranks in the 10th percentile for foul-shot effectiveness with a poor 61.8% rate since the start of last season.
Santi Aldama will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually reduces player performance across the board.

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