Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 22, 2024

Updated Mar 23, 2024 1:51 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has sunk 2.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 more than he's converted overall this year while playing away from home.
Santi Aldama has tallied 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 higher than he's tallied overall this season.
The Grizzlies will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Spurs).
The Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Grizzlies rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup vs. San Antonio is a difficult one; when the Spurs are on their home court, they have given up the 4th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs over the last 5 games (13.0).
The Grizzlies have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home.
Relative to last season's 70.0% clip, Santi Aldama's foul-shot proficiency has tailed off this season to 60.5%.
The number of fouls drawn by other starting PFs vs. Jeremy Sochan has been very low this year (3.0 free throw attempts per game: 25th percentile).

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