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Santi Aldama

Santi Aldama Points
Player Prop - 3/18/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies

 
 
 
Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -133 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Santi Aldama has attempted 11.2 shots per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 2.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.
  • Santi Aldama has averaged 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
  • This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 52.6% on field goal attempts (6th-best in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, resulting in a strong matchup.
  • The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should boost opportunities for the Grizzlies.
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA when playing on the road with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In regard to offense, the Memphis Grizzlies's unimpressive 105.8 points per game settles in as the lowest in the NBA this year.
  • The Grizzlies have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court.
  • In contrast to last season's 70.0% rate, Santi Aldama's free-throw prowess has regressed this season to 59.8%.
  • The matchup against the Sacramento Kings may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).
  • Santi Aldama will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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