Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Washington Wizards · Mar 12, 2024

Updated Mar 13, 2024 1:41 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has converted 2.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's made from three over the course of the year.
Santi Aldama has played 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.9 higher than he's played over the course of the year.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year with respect to 3-point attempts.
This year, opposing starting PFs have registered 18.6 points per game (9th-highest in the league) vs. the Wizards, branding this as a positive matchup for offensive output.
The Memphis Grizzlies will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from facing the fastest tempo offense in the league this year (the Wizards).

Favors Under

The Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games as the home team.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 3rdworst in in the league at home with a mere 8.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Santi Aldama has sunk 61.2% of his foul shots this year, putting him in the 13th percentile out of all players in the league.

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