Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 10, 2024

Updated Mar 11, 2024 2:42 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-123/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has sunk 2.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season.
Santi Aldama has averaged 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 more than he's averaged overall this season.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to raise opportunities for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Santi Aldama lands in the 83rd percentile for technical fouls, putting up a whopping 0.1 fouls per game this year.
The Grizzlies rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Thunder is a challenging one for field goals; opposing starting PFs have compiled the 8th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (46.3%).
The 6th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Grizzlies.
Santi Aldama has sunk a mere 60.6% of his free throws this year, a sizeable decrease from his 70.0 rate last year.

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