Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 8, 2024

Updated Mar 9, 2024 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has attempted 12.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Santi Aldama has played 33.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.0 more than he's played in all games this season.
The matchup against Atlanta is a favorable one; when the Hawks are on the road, they have given up the 28th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs this year (21.1).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Santi Aldama will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually increases stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Santi Aldama lands in the 75th percentile for technical fouls, putting up a whopping 0.0 fouls per game while at home this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The 7th-slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Grizzlies.
The Hawks have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Grizzlies.
Among all players in the league, Santi Aldama measures in the 13th percentile for free-throw efficiency with a a feeble 61.0% rate this year.

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