Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 2, 2024

Updated Mar 3, 2024 3:12 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-151/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -151.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has attempted 4.8 treys per game this year, ranking in the 78th percentile among all players in the NBA.
With respect to three-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive team in the league this year has been the Grizzlies.
Santi Aldama stands to see an increase in production across the board as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.2 more than he's been called for over the course of the season at home.
The matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers is a challenging one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the 12th-lowest three rate in the league this year (29.6%).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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