Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs LA Clippers · Feb 23, 2024

Updated Feb 24, 2024 12:57 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has attempted 6.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Santi Aldama has averaged 30.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
As it relates to three-point attempts, the 2nd-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The matchup vs. the Clippers is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 4.1 foul shots per game this year (22nd-most in the NBA).
Santi Aldama will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually raises player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's tallied in all games this year.
The matchup against the Clippers is a tough one for threes; the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 14th-lowest three rate in the league this year (27.2%).
The 7th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 6th-most sluggish tempo visiting offense in the NBA this year (the Clippers).
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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